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Chimerica: $ Dis-Ease rumbles on

Friday, July 24th, 2009

To the joy of conspiracy theorists everywhere, the new “United Future World Currency” coin was presented at the recent G8 summit in Italy. So far though its just a piece of alloy metal but hey value is in the eye of the holder.

As usual it was the Russian President, Dimitry Medvedev, giving the $ a good roasting and moving the debate forward to the minting process. But really how far advanced is this process and how serious are they? More to the point what would a global currency unit look like?

To answer the first question is simple: I have no idea. At the political level it is mere grandstanding usually for the domestic audience. Sometimes it’s easy to forget that most politicians have little understanding of how the global financial system works (no different from anyone else!) but back in the offices of Treasuries and Central Banks it may be a different story.Though I was struck by the recent bizarre questioning of Bernanke over the issue of $ currency swaps with central banks. It’s a classic.

I do think though that the Eurasian block are serious about making this move. Each step is a step closer to creating a multipolar currency whether its based on the Special Drawing Rights (SDRs), a Commodity Backed Currency (CBC) or an Energy Backed Currency (EBCU). Even the Amero could be a consideration.

But the key outcome will be whether we move from a Fiat based system to a hard currency system. That would make a major change in the structure to the global system perhaps taking us back to Keynes’s suggestion, the Bancor. If we stay with a Fiat system then we simply exchange one piece of paper for another.A hard backed system would certainly restore some much needed reality to the meaning and value.

What’s clear is that the US has become a fiscal disaster and holders of paper issued by the US have said enough is enough: your paper is not “as good as gold“.

Tags: $, amero, banking, china, coin, currencies, debt, dollar, ebcu, fiat, financial crisis, g8, gold, money, new world order, reserves, russia, united future, usa, world currency | No Comments »

The American Monetary Reform Act

Thursday, March 20th, 2008

With the financial system gutted and exposed like big swordfish from the Grand Banks, it’s time to have a look at a proposal for monetary reform. Stephen Zarlenga from the American Monetary Institute has put together a proposal that rests on the US constitution no less.

As many people are starting to learn, the 1913 Federal Reserve Act “effectively ceded the sovereign power to create money delegated to Congress by the Constitution to the private financial industry”. It was led by none other than JP Morgan himself. There is some interesting history of how the Act was actually passed during the small hours of the morning whilst no one was looking.

As Jim Rogers suggested yesterday, the Fed could be abolished or as Stephen proposes, be purely a bank of issue, supplying money as required by the government.

Now there are many ways to approach the issue of interest free money into an economy but for now I would just like people to read through the proposal and see what they think. Pass it to friends, schools and universities. People should be discussing this openly.

The AMI hold talks around the US all year round so get in touch and find out when they are coming your way.

Its your Congress and its your money.

Tags: central banks, federal reserve, financial crisis, gold, markets, money reform, parliament, political institutions, us congress, us constitution | 1 Comment »

National Security: $ on the verge of a nervous breakdown

Monday, March 3rd, 2008

It reads like a Tom Clancy plotline: The Senate Select Committee On Intelligence gets briefed on the national security implications of a collapse in the $. Suddenly there is a realisation that the US is very exposed not just economically but politically. Those who have read “Debt of Honour” will be familiar with the plot which involves a crashing of the US financial system using a coordinated attack on the $ and the Treasury market. Alas this is now not fiction but real time.

The $ is being abandoned wholesale and the US intelligence service is right to be focusing on what this could mean for national security just as the Pentagon did when they commissioned a report on the security implications of climate change back in 2004.

With Gold heading towards $1000/oz, Oil above $100/bl, the $ in freefall and the financial system in a mess, one could be forgiven for thinking that things couldn’t get much worse. Well stock prices still have plenty of room to fall and probably another 10-15% is about right. Property will continue to sag also.

But the main problem is the US getting the big fat raspberry from the rest of the world. It’s stretched militarily, politically it’s pretty much lost all credibility and now economically its kaputski, as its Russian pals would say.

Who caused this mess? Well according to some it was Sir Alan. No not Alan Sugar of Asmtrad and Spurs fame but Alan Greenspan. This little piece on his actions in 1987 paints an interesting picture.

Let’s hope someone with half a brain is in charge back in Washington otherwise this could get very messy.

Tags: central banks, credit, currencies, federal reserve, foreign policy, forex, gold, intervention, markets, money | No Comments »

Paper $ or Solid Gold?

Monday, February 25th, 2008

Tough choice eh…..well not for jewelry lovers. The gold bugs have been enjoying the ride up in the price of gold as well as making fun of Gordon Brown who unloaded a huge brick of the UK gold reserves back in 2001 much to the chagrin of UK taxpayers.

But with the $ swift decline into obscurity the fans of something more solid than the US Treasurer’s signature on a piece of paper are clamoring fro the return of the Gold Standard as a way of preserving the value of paper and controlling the impulse of bankers to keep printing the stuff.

Well yes that does seem to be a problem. I’ve touched on this before when looking at how the Bank of England experienced several runs just after it was formed. Why? Because they printed way more paper than they had in reserves of gold. So gold or no gold, there is nothing to stop authorities or private banks printing paper or more accurately filling up spreadsheets with lots of numbers.

I’m ambivalent on this gold business. Storage issues, never mind the horrendous process of digging the stuff out of the ground, present problems as do the ability to carry it safely but really its a confidence thing.

Readers of this blog should hopefully know by now that money is an artificial construct. We can make it anyway we like. It’s created into existence in some form in order that we can exchange goods, services and labour in an efficient manner.

It is subject to the laws of supply and demand like any other product or service.

William Rees-Mogg makes some interesting points about it here but the reality is still the same gold or no gold. We must control the supply of money. 1:1 exchange for gold is a way to do that but its so last century. Surely we can come up with a smarter way of doing it.

My favoured approach is for a central monetary authority to issue interest free new money into the system directly. that supply of money (the only supply) could be controlled on an annual basis responding to set limits, constraints and changes in demand, population etc.

Goodbye interest, goodbye inflation and goodbye financial markets as we know them.

Gold bugs or not, we have to do something about the current system before it blows up and makes the 1930s depression look like an afternoon tea party.

Tags: amero, bank of england, banking, central banks, currencies, debt, forex, gold, inflation, markets, money, money supply, policy ideas, systems | 3 Comments »

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    I’m a Londoner who moved to Christchurch, New Zealand in 2002. After studying economics and finance at Manchester University and a couple of years of backpacking, I ended up working in the financial markets in London. I traded the global financial markets on behalf of investment banks for 11 years. I write about the intersection of economic, social and environmental issues . My prime interest is in designing better systems to create a better world. I welcome comments and input.

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