Shock Doctrine: watch out for Tina
September 26th, 2008There is no alternative.
We have no choice but to…………fill in the blank.
There is always a choice. It’s amazing that the USA, Land of the Free, seems to find itself in situations where there is no choice. We must invade, bomb, bankrupt etc. Engineer a huge crisis and then say we have no choice but to send in troops or take all your money.
Watching the negotiations over the “Mother of All Bailouts” is like watching children squabble over a bag of sweets.
But it’s dawning on many that the taxpayer should not be handing over any cash. Sure the government can stand by with liquidity infusions but any investors in banks can write off their cash immediately and that includes bond holders.
If anything this shows that there are always risks in investing even in AAA US Securities. This is a great opportunity for a huge clearout and cleansing of the financial system: making banks carry higher capital ratios would be a good start as it will automatically deleverage the system; making sure the tax system encourages productive applications of capital, away from speculative strcutures.
It doesn’t necessarily mean more regulation. Ultimately investors will have to learn more about the companies and products they invest in: what is a securitised loan, what is subordinated debt, what is a perpetual bond etc.
The rating companies are all part of the game but again new approaches will will be found to get around the conflicts of interest currently present.
Section 8 of the proposed legislation says it all:
“Decisions by the Secretary pursuant to the authority of this Act are non-reviewable and committed to agency discretion, and may not be reviewed by any court of law or any administrative agency.”
Writing out a big cheque with no strings attached is a recipe for more of the same.
Let’s hope the senators are not fooled by Tina. There’s always another way.
Tags: banking, federal reserve, financial crisis, money, paulson