G7 calls for major review of global financial system
Saturday, April 12th, 2008The G7 communique from the current meeting makes for interesting reading. Their focus has been wide ranging and, for a change, not just on currencies though the headline statement does make a clear reference to recent moves.
What I took note of was their concerns around bank capital. This is really where the crunch point is located. They call for the Basel Committee to review liquidity risk management guidelines and a quick disclosure of write downs ands revaluations (or in reality devaluations).
The accounting for off balance sheet items was also raised, particularly the valuation of assets in a time of financial stress. That should cause palpitations amongst traders of credit default swaps. Quite frankly some of this stuff can only be valued when its traded. The idea that there is some kind of two way market is really a myth. That in itself should make regulators, as well as bank shareholders, sit up and think about some of the toxic trades sitting around on the books.
They also call for a speedy implementation of Basel II. I think they should tear up Basel II and move straight onto Basel III but more on that another time.
They realise the game is up and the time has come for a thorough overhaul of the system itself. It will be interesting to see how this plays out as more and more unwinding takes place. As far as currencies go, China was gently reminded to hurry up and revalue the Yuan and the market was reminded that G7 wasn’t happy about some of the moves we had in March. Whether that helps the $ is anyone’s guess but they better have an intervention plan up their sleeves before the $ takes another big dump.
The markets had a nice rally but reality is never too far away in markets and the last couple of weeks may have just been a pause for thought.