Reverse mortgages suck!

At last an article which pans reverse mortgages. I’ve never been a fan of these instruments which are really another form of credit card debt but with a supposedly safe pay off at the end.

They are a brokers favourite with the usual trailing commissions compounding along. It’s another sub prime fiasco waiting to kick in as people realise their wealth has been eaten up and they now have nothing.

There are other ways of raising cash which include trading down or borrowing from family members with the property as security.

Avoid these schemes like the plague.

The People vs The Banks

News comes of a huge class action suit brought in Canada by a litigator called John Dempsey. Following on from John Kutyn’s (a Canadian living in NZ) paper “the Nature of Money” it takes the next step of actually calling banks to account under the law.

It’s being held up in the courts but at some point the suit must be acknowledged and heard. Its a tough one for the judges as they are being asked to rule on one of the most accepted practices in society today, namely the equivalence of “digital money” and cash in the form of notes and coins.

With the relentless advance of Peer to Peer lending systems coming online and complimentary currencies in every country it is easy to see how a major change is underway. Sure the banks may not be too concerned now but we are seeing the beginnings of a major revolution in what we know as money.

Fed readies for another cut as markets hit and hope

As the Fed prepares for another rate cut, probably 25bps, possibly 50, markets are resilient in the face of what is still a horrendous credit meltdown. With Merrill Lynch reporting a monumental loss last week, it is clear that banks are still clearing away the debris of the last few months and the real impact may not be felt for some time.

Never mind the jokes (you can’t bail out anything with a siv)around the Super SIVs: the great $100bln bailout plan hatched by some genius to support the market. Similar to the rescue plan post LTCM crash, it basically involved the market coming in to buy its own distressed assets. Liquidity is the mantra but holding up the market is the reality.

Everything is under water so its a game of smoke and mirrors. As I’ve said before its a rational response to a difficult situation. The social impact of a complete financial crash is not something anyone wants to see but the longer we put off the necessary surgery the worse it will be.

The credit bubble of the last 15 years is over. The balloon has too many holes in it and its a waste of time pumping more air into it.  Satayjit Das, author of Traders, Guns and Money lays it all out in this paper. Its worth a read.

Fed Cuts, Markets Soar, Panic over. Not.

So the Fed arrived late at the party with a scything 50bp cut all round. But they left a cloud of uncertainty to block out the ray of sunshine.

Bernanke is not known for his pandering to the markets and inflation is still mentioned as a concern. So this move is part of the restoration of confidence in the US economy and global monetary system. The G7 central bankers and finance ministers will have been wired into each other this past month and since the Northern Rock meltdown probably on 24 hour call.

They all depend on each other now.

How the Asian central banks must be laughing given the dressing down they received during the 1998 crisis and how the G7 bankers and IMF threw the financial risk playbook at them.

So where does all this leave us. Well pretty much in the same place except we know that G7 will underwrite the financial system. This is good for big guys and bad for small ones (or foreigners!). Small guys can fail and be picked up for a song by the big fellas……nice bit of wealth transfer (anyone remember Long Term Capital or Barings?).

But fundamentally there is still pain to come. The fact that asset prices have been inflated way beyond realistic levels means at some point they must retreat and money must be destroyed as the money supply contracts.

No amount of paper shuffling can change that. Pumping out more money will help in the short term to keep institutions from falling over and the system functioning but it cannot prevent the inevitable.

The best we can hope for is a gentle downturn in asset prices. And of course lessons will be learnt….just like in 1794 and every 18 years since

Why it is necessary to have confidence in the banking system

The recent Bank of England action is completely necessary though wrong in terms of moral hazard. In order to understand why this is the case i exhort you to read John Tomlinson’s paper which is in the research section or here. In his paper  he explains how a bank works in terms of taking in deposits and lending out money. He dissects carefully the balance sheet of Barclays Bank and shows how solvency is merely a trick of the imagination.

Of course readers of this blog will already know that money is merely a ficition, one with a deep and dark history. As Trevor commented in the previous post, the general public relies on he integrity of the system and the honesty of those who operate it.

Can we have confidence in those people? I think not. Not because they are dishonest  but because they refuse to acknowledge a system that is unstabl, inequitable and ultimately inefficient.

Please read and ask questions, comment, spread the word and ponder.  What does your money mean? Do you really have any savings, wealth or assets? Don’t rely on the system to support you. It has failed regularly since the Bank of England was first formed and wil l continue to do so until some serious surgery has been performed.

Astonishing news: Bank of England changes the rules

I just heard this news an hour ago and frankly was astounded. The Bank of England will ,if necessary, guarantee all deposits held with Northern Rock. This a major change to the current depositors insurance scheme.

Wow! In a stroke they have just removed any risk from the banking system. They have in effect nationalised Northern Rock without actually doing so.

Actually this is a good thing since it further exposes the myth behind our banking system. Mind you they didn’t rush to bail out the depositors of BCCI  when that failed.

So where to from here? Well that’s anyones guess but this wont finish here even with the  blank cheque provided the the Old Lady.

Max Hastings writes a lovely piece here. Finally as the party comes to an end and the hangover kicks in, will there be some reason?

I hope so. It is a great opportunity to look closely at the money system we currently have. Do not look to our central bankers to provide the lead or even our politicians. We the people will have to provide ideas, answers and solutions on how to proceed. The monetary reform movement has been growing by the day and now it is time to stand up and be heard.