Banks still raking it in

Yesterday the ANZ reported another huge profit even with very large write downs and provisions for bad debts. A mere $510m for the six months to date is not too shabby though we can expect 2008 to be much harder going as loan demand (and supply) falls and consumers pare back on expenditure. We are already seeing signs of that with credit card spending falling along with credit card balances increasing.

But what really stands out is the $3.2bln the banks made in New Zealand in 2007. That is a lot of dough, the majority of which comes from the ability to create money into existence via interest bearing loans.

In the last 10 years loans have risen from $127bln to $323bln an increase of 154%….in 10 years!!!

In that time house prices (from QV data) have risen 178%.

It’s good to see Kiwibank taking a bigger part of this market because at least the profits stay with the taxpayer. And of course the right to create money is a sovereign one so why not have a “national” bank. That’s something worth thinking about.

Securities Commission wakes up

I like this piece from Micheal Coote on the NZ Securities Commission. He contrasts the approach of US authorities in throwing the book at white collar fraudsters with the rather ame approach of Seccom here in simply posting binding undertakings on its website from offending parties.

It reminds me that nearly 4 years ago i tried to interest Jane Diplock and the Commission in looking at finance companies. There was no reply. Sometimes i wonder what they get paid for. Trawling through their website I came across this speech by Jane Diplock to the International Investment Funds Assocation late in 2007. She is also the Chairman of the International Organisation of Securities Commissions.

It was a mind numbingly boring speech about global regulation of capital markets. Read it if you can’t sleep tonight. What surprises me the most is the lack of concern about the state of global markets, given the speech was dated 1st November 2007. That just about sums it up for me.

What have they been doing? Not much from what I can see. Meanwhile 17 NZ finance companies have gone under and the global capital markets are in dissarray.

But wait maybe they are onto something going by her concluding remarks

“We are at the cusp of a new global adventure into new realms of mutual recognition and consistent standards around the world. We live in exciting times!”

Strewth!

Bollard pleads

Keep going guys, Alan Bollard pleads. He asks banks and businesses not to hibernate. What?!

Is he suddenly the Finance Minister? It’s really quite odd to see a central bank governor talking like this especially since the last few years he’s been going on about house prices and overborrowing without doing a great deal about it.

Now he’s saying don’t let credit constraints get in the way.

At the same time the Commerce Minister tells investors to get savvy or get “burned”. I love it especially from a Labour government where many ministers have invested in property themselves. Financial literacy? We’d certainly like some.

The facts are very simple. Too much leverage, much of it unseen, caused an asset bubble. That bubble is now deflating and there will be some major fallout. Add to that concerns over global food and energy prices and you have a perfect storm. So for banks now to put the shutters up whilst they count the cost is simply sound business practice.

Westpac has already adjusted its loan criteria. This just fuels the need for lower house prices and demonstrates the role that banks have played in the boom. Yes the interest rate is important but only at the margin. The real issue is how much will they lend: 100% or 65%.

It’s a big difference in what people can afford to pay.  Now landlords have the power as they can raise rents and people will just have to bear it. So along with an increase in mortgagee sales we will see an increase in rent arrears if rents increase beyond peoples’ means.

So it’s a bit late for the officials to weigh in with their comments. They have had plenty of time to look at banking regulation and have completely missed the boat.

Free Trade:China and New Zealand

So New Zealand have signed the first Free Trade Agreement with China. It’s quite a big deal really and there is no doubt New Zealand has been chosen by China as an easy country to do business with and there is a fairly long and open history between the two countries.

There’s been a bit of concern over the human rights aspects of the deal and what it means for workers conditions but it’s really simple to deal with that if it is a concern of yours:

Buy goods that you are happy to buy. Buy Kiwi made or buy ethically certified. But ultimately as a consumer you have the final say on what you purchase. So ask more questions and you’ll find your enquiries work their way up the chain. Business is business and the customer is always right. Over time wokplace conditions will improve and as China becomes more wealthy they will be able to move towards standards we take for granted here.

Lance, Jim and the NBR have all commented on the ins and outs of the deal but I think it’s a positive step to open up markets as it breaks down barriers.

However consumers will always have the final word so we’ll wait and see what the actual impact is.

Anderton lays into greedy banks

Jim Anderton, a senior member of cabinet and supporter of Helen Clark, has had a good crack at the NZ banks calling them “authors of their own misfortune”.

With lending up 14.3% in the last year he’s not wrong.

And with Lombard the 17th NZ finance company to hit the wall some serious questions must be asked about the health of the NZ financial system.

Deborah Hill Cone , the Hermione Granger of NZ journalism, has been banging on about this for many years now focusing mainly on the Hanover Group which surprisingly hasn’t gone under….yet.

Back in March 2004 she wrote a big piece on it for the NBR which prompted me to write to various MPs and the Finance Minister to express concern about the finance company sector as a whole. The only MP who took interest in it was John Key, the then shadow finance minister, whilst Michael Cullen, the current one, gave the standard response that the system was well regulated.

We also hear that Tower has closed a mortgage fund after a run on funds on a day that centre left leaders met in London to discuss urgent reform of global financial markets. Helen Clark was there and no doubt expressed her concern.

Perhaps her focus should be a little closer to home?

New Zealand: government funding for technology companies.

Ok i don’t often talk about my own business here but time to throw a story out for comment.

As some of you know I am a director of VortexDNA, a technology company based here in Christchurch. Now a while ago we were told we could get a grant from New Zealand Trade and Enterprise, which is our economic development agency for developer resources. Great we thought because we were short handed in that department and had plenty of work available.

We applied and were fortunate enough to receive $20,000 for a developer. I’ll state now that I am not a fan of government grants at all but if it’s available then I guess you have to take it.

The developer did some work for us and was very good. We decided to reward him with some stock in the company as we do with pretty much anyone who does anything worthwhile for us. It’s a measure of our gratitude and a desire to make people part of what they help create. Sounds good?

Well no not according to NZTE who have told us we were in breach of some clause in the agreement which states there can be no financial arrangement between the company and the developer. Stone the crows!

The audit people from NZTE have played firm with the rules and told us we have to repay the money and to add insult to injury we have been placed on a high risk register for any future application.

Needless to say the directors are fuming.

And I am even more convinced that government should stay well out of business.

Meanwhile we continue to expand into the US, UK and even Russia.

Under our own steam no doubt!