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NZ House Prices Head South…more to come

February 14th, 2008

Recent data shows the downturn in property prices is well underway. Whilst the big picture is clouded we are seeing some major shifts. In Auckland the median price was down 6% from December with Auckand city down a whopping 15%. Now sales volumes are at seven year record lows which impacts on the numbers but the reality is quite clear: the market has had a vicious turn and no amount of talking it up is going to help.

What is off major concern is the knock on effects. These will be felt over the next 6 months especially with interest rates continuing to bite. Yet some economists are looking for further rate rises.  The recent drought is expected to eat into farmers’ recent windfall gains from commodity prices rises.

So the Reserve Bank needs to look through this inflation blip and focus on the impacts of the credit crunch and falling house and land prices.  And banks have a responsibility not to pull the plug too quickly but work with people and businesses if they get into trouble.

It’s a tough time to be exposed in property.

Tags: credit crunch, interest, mortgage, new zealand

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    I’m a Londoner who moved to Christchurch, New Zealand in 2002. After studying economics and finance at Manchester University and a couple of years of backpacking I ended up working in the financial markets in London. I traded the global financial markets on behalf of investment banks for 11 years. In 1998 I decided to explore the underlying financial system in more detail and its impact on society. The results were startling! In 2000 I decided to leave banking and explore new opportunities. I helped start up Trucost, an environmental research company, exploring ways of placing a value on ecosystem services. In 2002 I moved with my family to Christchurch, New Zealand. Since then I have returned to University studying political science and helped start up another company, VortexDNA, which explores the science of human intention and its predictive abilities. I am an active Angel investor, mainly in clean tech and web 2.0, and also volunteer for local community organisations in the areas of finance and mentoring. I am always keen to make new connections and hear about new ideas. Contact me directly on raf AT sustento.org.nz

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