I wanted to share this story about the rehabiltion of child soldiers in Africa. It’s nothing short of a human tragedy and deserves our attention. About 10 years ago I did a course on the International Dimensions of Human Rights. One fact that really troubled me was the sheer numbers of children who had been co-opted by force into becoming soldiers and ultimately killers. The use of drugs and torture was commonplace and the results horrific.

Yet out of this comes a story of healing which has lessons for all of us especially those in developed countries where teenage crime is on the rise. I’ll leave you all to draw your own conclusions.

I like this piece from Micheal Coote on the NZ Securities Commission. He contrasts the approach of US authorities in throwing the book at white collar fraudsters with the rather ame approach of Seccom here in simply posting binding undertakings on its website from offending parties.

It reminds me that nearly 4 years agao i tried to interest Jane Diplock and the Commission in looking at finance companies. There was no reply. Sometimes i wonder what they get paid for. Trawling through their website I came across this speech by Jane Diplock to the International Investment Funds Assocation late in 2007. She is also the Chairman of the International Organisation of Securities Commissions.

It was a mind numbingly boring speech about global regulation of capital markets. Read it if you can’t sleep tonight. What surprises me the most is the lack of concern about the state of global markets, given the speech was dated 1st November 2007. That just about sums it up for me.

What have they been doing? Not much from what I can see. Meanwhile 17 NZ finance companies have gone under and the global capital markets are in dissarray.

But wait maybe they are onto something going by her concluding remarks

“We are at the cusp of a new global adventure into new realms of mutual recognition and consistent standards around the world. We live in exciting times!”

Strewth!

Suddenly food is top of the global humanitarian agenda. Policymakers now realise something major has to be done after 7 years of feast lest 7 years of famine take hold.

Whether its due to bio-fuels or falling farm output, the situation is the same. People cannot afford to buy food.

It’s interesting that in the drive to grow manufacturing and service industries, agriculture has been relegated to a has been and rather dull business. But as we know we all need our daily bread and this rather sharp reminder will see farming regain its importance as a primary and important piece of industry.

This may even be the straw that breaks the back of farming subsidies.  But we may be facing a period of high food prices with the embedded cost of oil at every place in the supply chain.

If there’s an answer its to eliminate subsidies (this from 5 years ago)and start to grow food locally as much as possible.

Time to bring back the veggie patch.

A week of food riots has seen the Haitian Prime Minister fired by the Senate. Food is right up there on the National Security watch list along with climate change, peak oil and water. This has been simmering for a while now but is starting to loom as a serious global problem.

It’s not a problem that can be considered in isolation. Speculation in land (financial asset bubble), population growth, the bio-fuel issue and climate change have all contributed to a serious problem with the food chain.

Rising oil prices have just been the icing on this unpalatable cake. Is this likely to be contained to developing or poorer nations? Not so say some. In developed nations just-in-time delivery and stocking systems work on very tight margins. Food banks are under serious strain with a whole new layer of users appearing in recent times.

There’s no simple solution to this situation but governments need to take it very seriously.

The G7 communique from the current meeting makes for interesting reading. Their focus has been wide ranging and, for a change, not just on currencies though the headline statement does make a clear reference to recent moves.

What I took note of was their concerns around bank capital. This is really where the crunch point is located. They call for the Basel Committee to review liquidity risk management guidelines and a quick disclosure of write downs ands revaluations (or in reality devaluations).

The accounting for off balance sheet items was also raised, particularly the valuation of assets in a time of financial stress. That should cause palpitations amongst traders of credit default swaps. Quite frankly some of this stuff can only be valued when its traded. The idea that there is some kind of two way market is really a myth. That in itself should make regulators, as well as bank shareholders, sit up and think about some of the toxic trades sitting around on the books.

They also call for a speedy implementation of Basel II. I think they should tear up Basel II and move straight onto Basel III but more on that another time.

They realise the game is up and the time has come for a thorough overhaul of the system itself. It will be interesting to see how this plays out as more and more unwinding takes place. As far as currencies go, China was gently reminded to hurry up and revalue the Yuan and the market was reminded that G7 wasn’t happy about some of the moves we had in March.  Whether that helps the $ is anyone’s guess but they better have an intervention plan up their sleeves before the $ takes another big dump.

The markets had a nice rally but reality is never too far away in markets and the last couple of weeks may have just been a pause for thought.

With rising food prices starting to kick in globally the specter of food fights is becoming a reality (hat tip to Nevil).

Riots have been seen in many countries now and food, like climate change, is starting to be seen as a national security issue.  The Philipines is facing major rice shortages which is almost unthinkable for a country where rice is a staple. It is also causing serious unrest.

Even here in New Zealand consumers are unhappy about paying 60% more for a block of cheese which has been produced down the road.

Its a difficult situation that will take some sorting out. Producers want the best prices they can get and so will sell into the international market. Subsidies continue to distort the market.

World Bank President, Robert Zoellick has suggested a move away from direct aid and an attempt to remove barriers, create local markets and improve local production.

About time! That’s what i like about Kiva which promotes empowerment and local solutions. That is the way forward. Forget about the huge projects of the 1970s and 80s which dropped so many developing nations into the debt trap. Create a level playing field and encourage local solutions.